Record Breaking Week in the NFL Can't Stop Us

Recap of Last Week's Sir Rebral Seven

What a week this was. A bit of a mixed bag thanks to an NFL record 13 overs hitting this week. On average, there are usually 9 Unders and 7 Overs every week. What happened in Week 2 had a 1% chance of occurring. Still, I managed to go 10-5-1 against the spread (67%). The atrocious 5-11 record against OUs will surely be an anomaly. Two weeks in, I’m 34-25-1 (58%) overall.

I’ll recap Week 2’s Sir Rebral Seven over on my YouTube channel for a quick rundown of what I got right and what I got wrong. In the meantime, here’s a taste of my recap analysis.

The Sir Rebral Seven

🔄 SIR REBRAL SELECT: GB +1 @ ATL

  • Push. Luckily the line moved to +3 by game time, so hopefully this one hit for you.

  • Looking back on my own analysis, I gave the Packers too much credit for their defense and I underrated the Falcons ability to bounce back from a not-so-hot Week 1.

❌ SIR REBRAL SELECT: CHI @ TB Under 41

  • Justin Fields had to be Justin Fields and throw a pick six to push this over.

  • I gave the Bucs defense more credit than they deserved and, on the flip side, I banked on TB's offense being worse than it was.

❌ SIR REBRAL SELECT: LAC -2.5 @ TEN

  • The Titans had no offense, but the Chargers shot themselves in the foot. It’s tough to factor in teams making stupid penalties.

  • Titans got the win, even though -- in my eyes -- the Chargers are the better team.

✅ SIR REBRAL SELECT: BAL +3.5 @ CIN

  • The Ravens took care of business, only giving up 17 pts to the Bengals.

  • All I can say -- really good offense and defense showing from the Ravens.

❌ SIR REBRAL SELECT: NYJ @ DAL Under 38.5

  • This Over/Under was just 1.5 points shy of the real outcome.

  • I knew the Jets would struggle, but 4 turnovers by the Jets really set up the Cowboys to fly. Those excessive turnovers fed into the over.

✅ SIR REBRAL SELECT: MIA @ NE Under 46.5

  • What a game. A 21-point 4th quarter.

  • It was inevitable that the Patriots would find time to slow down that offense. Luckily for the Dolphins, they have good running backs.

  • Almost a perfect score prediction. The final score came in at Dolphins 24, Patriots 17. I had predicted Dolphins 23, Patriots 16.

❌ SIR REBRAL SELECT: DET -4.5 v SEA

  • This imperfect prediction has a lot to do with the Chiefs starting slow in their matchup against the Lions in Week 1. Straight up, the Lions weren't as good as I thought. Dan Campbell got outcoached.

  • I should have used history to know the Seahawks are resilient.

✅ SIR REBRAL STAY AWAY: CLE -2.5 @ PIT

  • Aren’t you glad you stayed away from this one?

  • The Browns turned over 4x and the Steelers gave up 400 yds to the Browns, really unpredictable mess.

The Spread Selects – Week 2

🔄GB +2 @ ATL

✅BAL +3.5 @ CIN

❌LAC -3 @ TEN

❌DET -4.5 v SEA

❌DEN -3.5 v WSH

✅CAR +3.5 v NO

✅LAR +7.5 v SF

✅MIA -2.5 @ NE

❌JAX +3.5 v KC

✅TB -2.5 v CHI

✅ MIN +6.5 @ PHI

✅DAL -9.5 v NYJ

✅IND +1 v HOU

✅ARI +4.5 v NYG

❌CLE -2.5 @ PIT

✅BUF -8.5 v LV

The Over/Under Selects – Week 2

❌CHI @ TB UNDER 41 – PROJECTION: TB 20 CHI 13 (8 PT DIFFERENCE)

✅MIA @ NE UNDER 46.5 – PROJECTION: MIA 23 NE 16 (7.5 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌NYJ @ DAL UNDER 38.5 – PROJECTION: DAL 21 NYJ 10 (7.5 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌IND @ HOU UNDER 39.5 – PROJECTION: HOU 17 IND 16 (6.5 PT DIFFERENCE)

✅GB @ ATL OVER 40.5 – PROJECTION: GB 27 ATL 20 (6.5 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌KC @ JAX OVER 51 – PROJECTION: JAX 29 KC 28 (6 PT DIFFERENCE)

✅LV @ BUF OVER 46.5 – PROJECTION: BUF 31 LV 21 (5.5 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌WSH @ DEN UNDER 39 – PROJECTION: DEN 23 WSH 13 (3 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌NYG @ ARI UNDER 39.5 – PROJECTION: NYG 20 ARI 17 (2.5 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌BAL @ CIN UNDER 46 – PROJECTION: BAL 24 CIN 20 (2 PT DIFFERENCE)

✅SEA @ DET OVER 47 – PROJECTION: DET 30 SEA 19 (2 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌LAC @ TEN UNDER 46 – PROJECTION: LAC 27 TEN 17 (2 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌SF @ LAR UNDER 45 – PROJECTION: SF 23 LAR 20 (2 PT DIFFERENCE)

✅ MIN @ PHI OVER 49.5 – PROJECTION: PHI 27 MIN 24 (1.5 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌CLE @ PIT UNDER 38.5 – PROJECTION: CLE 19 PIT 16 (4 PT DIFFERENCE)

❌NO @ CAR OVER 40 – PROJECTION: CAR 22 NO 20 (2 PT DIFFERENCE)

Stay tuned: we’ll have Week 3 picks and stay aways coming at you later today. As always, stay plugged in with me and all my picks on Twitter, TikTok, and Instagram.

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Happy watching and happy winning,

-- Joey