What an incredible Wild Card weekend. I’m high energy, coming off that 8-2 win. With only four games on the table this weekend, I’m dialed in on the analysis. 

Let’s dig in on how to turn these 4 games into $$$ this weekend.

Sir Rebral Selects

👑SIR REBRAL SELECT🧠: KC +2.5 @ BUF, Under 45.5

Cerebral Index Rating: 97 (out of maximum 100)

Score Projection: KC 23 BUF 20 

🤕Injuries: S Taylor Rapp, CB Christian Benford out, CB Rasul Douglas questionable 

⛈️Weather: 15-25, sunny, medium wind

When these two teams met earlier in the year, the Bills escaped with a 20-17 victory. Despite KC being without Nick Bolton and L’Jarius Sneed in that game, their defense held Buffalo in check. With the Chiefs defense healthy and in full throttle, they’re exploding into Bills Stadium after a magnificent performance holding the Dolphins to 7. As far as Buffalo’s defense goes, the Steelers moved the ball with way too much ease last week. They were one end zone interception away from potentially scoring 24 points. If Pittsburgh can gain 300+ yards, I think Mahomes and crew will find a way, too. Defense will be the difference in this game, as the Bills injuries have piled up, and they just aren’t the same. Chiefs win.

👑SIR REBRAL SELECT🧠: DET -6 v TB, Under 49.5

Cerebral Index Rating: 97

Score Projection: DET 28 TB 17

🤕Injuries: WR Kalif Raymond

⛈️Weather: Dome

Tampa has played well above expectations this season. The Buccaneers winning a playoff game was not on my 2024 Bingo Card. But the reality is they got the easiest matchup of the first round against the Eagles, and now they must face a much better Lions team –– on the road. The Lions came into Tampa early in the season and beat them 20-6, one of their best defensive performances of the season. This rematch puts the Lions at home, giving them an even better chance to slaughter the Buccs and cover that spread easily. Despite the Lions defense’s considerable regression since they met earlier in the year, their offensive line’s strengths overcome that narrative any day. 

👑SIR REBRAL SELECT🧠: GB +10 @ SF, Over 50.5 

Cerebral Index Rating: 98

Score Projection: SF 30 GB 27

⛈️Weather: 50s, cloudy 

The Packers are simply too hot right now to be 10-point underdogs against anyone. While their defense is certainly still unproven, they have shown some improvement as of late, and just need to force a few punts in this game to cover. They might even win. The 49ers could have the rust factor set in and cause a slow start to this game, but also, their defense has some under the radar issues. I think points are a certainty in this game. Take the over and the Packers to cover.

👑SIR REBRAL SELECT🧠: HOU +9.5 @ BAL, over 43.5

Cerebral Index Rating: 96

Score projection: Ravens 26 Texans 24

🤕Injuries: CB Marlon Humphrey 

⛈️Weather: 20s, Sunny, mild wind 

This spread is very interesting, because this same matchup happened in Baltimore Week 1, and the spread is identical. But Houston is now far better than they were supposed to be that week, so I don’t see why it isn’t a 7-point spread or something smaller. At the end of the day, Houston is good. Baltimore should win, but I think the weather being in the 20s is being overrated as a reason that Houston will crumble. They have had a lethal pass attack all season, and I don’t think a little cold weather is going to keep them from moving the ball. While it is true that the Ravens have a good chance to shut down their run game entirely, it’s not a guarantee. Stroud is just so good, that’s really what this is all about. He will find a way to shred the Raven DBs. The Ravens will certainly get their share on offense as well, so take the over, but I like the Texans to cover. 

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See you after the weekend, 

-- Joey