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- The Sir Rebral Seven (WEEK 3)
The Sir Rebral Seven (WEEK 3)
Who’s ready for the 49ers to dominate the Giants tonight? I am!
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Remember that volume betting is the strategy here. I’m up because while I’ve lost 26 bets already, I’ve won 36 (56% win rate). My record last year and the law of averages suggests I’m going to hit a lot more Over/Unders this week than the wildly high-scoring Week 2.
I’ll cut to the chase — here are my best bets for Week 3 (The Sir Rebral Seven) and the full slate of Selects.
👑SIR REBRAL SELECT🧠: LAR @ CIN OVER 44, LAR +3
Cerebral Index Rating: 98 (out of maximum 100) (OVER 44)
Cerebral Index Rating: 96 (LAR +3)
The Bengals D-line is a complete bust this season, and they are facing off against a Rams team this week that completely handled the 49ers. The Rams are rejuvenated, and look as good as ever. If they can handle the 49ers, they can handle anyone, including the Bengals. They will score on the Bengals with ease. Even with Joe Burrow playing with a slight calf injury, the Bengals should finally get some success on offense, as the Rams will have the softest defensive line of the teams they have faced thus far. Both teams will score well in this matchup. I think the Rams are a better team right now, and I think they will come into Cincy and send the Bengals to an 0-3 start on Monday night football.
👑SIR REBRAL SELECT🧠: NE @ NYJ UNDER 37, NE -2.5
Cerebral Index Rating: 96 (BOTH)
The Patriots are licking their chops heading into this weekend, as they are set to face the turnover machine known as Zach Wilson. Besides Wilson’s incompetence going up against an elite Patriot secondary, the Jets offensive line is going to get worked this game. The Jets won’t be scoring much or moving the ball much. On the Patriots side, they should have more success than the Jets, but also should face some resistance. The Jets D-line will make their presence felt, especially with the Patriots banged up all over their offensive line. This will be a low-scoring defensive war, and I expect the Patriots to extend their long winning streak against the Jets.
👑SIR REBRAL SELECT🧠: MIA -6.5 v DEN, OVER 48
Cerebral Index Rating: 97 (MIA -6.5)
Cerebral Index Rating: 95 (OVER 48)
The Dolphins might have been slowed down last week a bit, as predicted, but make no mistake: their offense is elite. They are playing their home opener against a Broncos team that has completely lost their identity on defense, and has no chance of stopping Tua Tagovailoa and crew. This is going to be a high scoring, high flying action game that the Dolphins will win handily. The Broncos offense has showed some new competence, so I think they will still score a fair amount, so the over 48 is a great play as well.
👑SIR REBRAL SELECT🧠: ATL +3.5 @ DET
Cerebral Index Rating: 96
I have the Falcons going into Detroit and winning this game outright. Their rush attack is elite, and Bijan Robinson running behind that offensive line is something Detroit cannot stop. The Lions are banged up right now on offense, with several receivers and offensive linemen ailing short term injuries. David Montgomery will also be out. The Falcons have swagger about them that the Lions don’t have right now, and they have the edge on coaching as well.
🙅♂️SIR REBRAL STAY AWAY🙅♂️: MIN -1 v LAC
Don’t touch this spread!
The Chargers and the Vikings meet this week, and they are mirrors of one another. Both teams have defenses that are underachieving miserably. Both have high octane pass games. Both teams are 0-2, but SHOULD be 2-0! This is a very even matchup in Minnesota, and given the Chargers have slightly more talent, this game is a pure tossup. Don’t bet it!
Here are all the places I’m putting money this week:
Spreads
MIA -6.5 v DEN
PROJECTION: MIA 34 DEN 20 (MIA BY 14, 7.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
ATL +3.5 @ DET
PROJECTION: ATL 24 DET 20 (ATL BY 4, 7.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
DAL -12.5 @ ARI
PROJECTION: DAL 29 ARI 9 (DAL BY 20, 7.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
SF -10.5 v NYG
PROJECTION: SF 27 NYG 10 (SF BY 17, 6.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
KC -12.5 v CHI
PROJECTION: KC 30 CHI 12 (KC BY 18, 5.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
SEA -6.5 v CAR
PROJECTION: SEA 24 CAR 13 (SEA BY 11, 4.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
LAR +3 @ CIN
PROJECTION: LAR 28 CIN 27 (LAR BY 1, 4 PT DIFFERENCE)
NE -2.5 @ NYJ
PROJECTION: NE 19 NYJ 13 (NE BY 6, 3.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
HOU +9 @ JAX
PROJECTION: JAX 23 HOU 17 (JAX BY 6, 3 PT DIFFERENCE)
TB +5 v PHI
PROJECTION: PHI 28 TB 26 (PHI BY 2, 3 PT DIFFERENCE)
TEN +3.5 @ CLE
PROJECTION: CLE 20 TEN 19 (CLE BY 1, 2.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
IND +7.5 @ BAL
PROJECTION: BAL 26 IND 21 (BAL BY 5, 2.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
WSH +6.5 v BUF
PROJECTION: BUF 27 WSH 23 (BUF BY 4, 2.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
GB -1.5 v NO
PROJECTION: GB 20 NO 16 (GB BY 4, 2 PT DIFFERENCE)
Over/Unders
LAR @ CIN OVER 44
PROJECTION: LAR 28 CIN 27 (11 PT DIFFERENCE)
PHI @ TB OVER 46
PROJECTION: PHI 28 TB 26 (8 PT DIFFERENCE)
NYG @ SF UNDER 44.5
PROJECTION: SF 27 NYG 10 (7.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
LAC @ MIN OVER 53.5
PROJECTION: MIN 31 LAC 30 (7.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
NO @ GB UNDER 42.5
PROJECTION: GB 20 NO 16 (6.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
DEN @ MIA OVER 48
PROJECTION: MIA 34 DEN 20 (6 PT DIFFERENCE)
PIT @ LV UNDER 43
PROJECTION: LV 20 PIT 17 (6 PT DIFFERENCE)
CHI @ KC UNDER 48
PROJECTION: KC 30 CHI 12 (6 PT DIFFERENCE)
BUF @ WSH OVER 44
PROJECTION: BUF 27 WSH 23 (6 PT DIFFERENCE)
DAL @ ARI UNDER 43
PROJECTION: DAL 29 ARI 9 (5.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
NE @ NYJ UNDER 37
PROJECTION: NE 19 NYJ 13 (5 PT DIFFERENCE)
CAR @ SEA UNDER 41.5
PROJECTION: SEA 24 CAR 13 (4.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
HOU @ JAX UNDER 44
PROJECTION: JAX 23 HOU 17 (4 PT DIFFERENCE)
IND @ BAL OVER 45
PROJECTION: BAL 26 IND 21 (2 PT DIFFERENCE)
ATL @ DET UNDER 46
PROJECTION: ATL 24 DET 20 (2 PT DIFFERENCE)
Stay Aways
LV -2.5 v PIT
PROJECTION: LV 20 PIT 17 (LV BY 3, 0.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
MIN -1 v LAC
PROJECTION: MIN 31 LAC 30 (MIN BY 1, 0 PT DIFFERENCE)
TEN @ CLE UNDER 39.5
PROJECTION: CLE 20 TEN 19 (0.5 PT DIFFERENCE)
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